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Analyst consensus

This analyst consensus is based on the most recent estimates submitted by various financial analysts to Aegon.

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Date of publication: January 31, 2017

Q4 2016 estimates

 

Amounts in EUR million unless otherwise stated
Low Average  High # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax  457 509 557 21
Fair value items -115 18 190 19
Gains/losses on investments -4 33 80 19
Impairment charges -71   -20 9 19
Other income  -76 -25 33 20
Run-off businesses -4 11 30 19
Income before tax 330  528 685 19
Income tax -171 -110 -15 20
Net income 264 416 531 19
Capital generation excl. market impacts and one-time items (EUR billion) 0.3 0.3 0.4

17

         
Shareholders' equity end of period 19,263 20,271 22,109  17
Revaluation account 3,890 5,541 7,403 16
Remeasurements of defined benefit plans -2,943 -2,007 -810 14
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period* 15,128 16,727 18,012 16

* Adjusted shareholders' equity equals reported shareholders' equity after adjusting for revaluation reserves, remeasurement of defined benefit plans, non-controlling interests and share options not yet exercised.

 

Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

Underlying earnings before tax estimates

 

Amounts in EUR million Low Average High # of estimates
Full year 2016 1,772 1,865 1,910 16
Full year 2017 1,833 2,035 2,303 16
Full year 2018 1,901 2,102 2,367 15
Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

 

Other

 

  Low Average High # of estimates
Solvency II ratio per quarter end 158% 161% 163%  19
Dividend per share (in Euro)  0.13  0.13 0.14 21
Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

updated October 24, 2016

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