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Analyst consensus

This analyst consensus is based on the most recent estimates submitted to Aegon by various financial analysts.

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Date of publication: January 31, 2017

Q4 2017 estimates

 

Amounts in EUR million unless otherwise stated
Low Average  High # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax  468 517 547 22
Fair value items -161 -39 76 22
Gains/losses on investments -98 29 122 21
Impairment charges -114   -16 5 22
Other income -122 43 100 21
Run-off businesses -3 1 7 21
Income before tax 278 532 776 22
Income tax -125 132 358 22
Net income 234 659 905 22
Capital generation excl. market impacts and one-time items (EUR billion) 251 304.5 350

15

         
Shareholders' equity end of period 19,614 20,786 22,929  17
Revaluation account 3,594 4,403 6,381 16
Remeasurements of defined benefit plans -1,820 -1,542 -1,340 15
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period* 16,859 18,038 20,944 15

* Adjusted shareholders' equity equals reported shareholders' equity after adjusting for revaluation reserves, remeasurement of defined benefit plans, non-controlling interests and share options not yet exercised.

 

Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

Underlying earnings before tax estimates

 

Amounts in EUR million Low Average High # of estimates
Full year 2017 2,047 2,096 2,132 20
Full year 2018 1,916 2,041 2,196 20
Full year 2019 1,950 2,096 2,335 20
Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

 

Other

 

  Low Average High # of estimates
Solvency II ratio per quarter end 187% 195% 203%  17
Dividend per share 0.13 0.14 0.15 14
Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

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