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Analyst consensus

This analyst consensus is based on the most recent estimates submitted to Aegon by various financial analysts.

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Date of publication: April 25, 2017

Q1 2017 estimates

 

Amounts in EUR million unless otherwise stated
Low Average  High # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax  423 477 513 18
Fair value items -245 -165 50 17
Gains/losses on investments 0 35 84 17
Impairment charges -61   -17 0 17
Other income -102 -17 4 17
Run-off businesses -51 3 22 17
Income before tax 194  313 559 17
Income tax -165 -77 -28 17
Net income 159 236 419 17
Capital generation excl. market impacts and one-time items (EUR billion) 0.3 0.3 0.3

13

         
Shareholders' equity end of period 19,583 21,028 24,961  14
Revaluation account 5,131 5,496 6,131 13
Remeasurements of defined benefit plans -1,920 -1,679 0 13
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period* 15,929 17,332 21,370 13

* Adjusted shareholders' equity equals reported shareholders' equity after adjusting for revaluation reserves, remeasurement of defined benefit plans, non-controlling interests and share options not yet exercised.

 

Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

Underlying earnings before tax estimates

 

Amounts in EUR million Low Average High # of estimates
Full year 2017 1,910 2,050 2,203 15
Full year 2018 1,922 2,140 2,365 15
Full year 2019 1,966 2,225 2,515 12
Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

 

Other

 

  Low Average High # of estimates
Solvency II ratio per quarter end 150% 154% 157%  16
Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

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