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Analyst consensus

This analyst consensus is based on the most recent estimates submitted to Aegon by various financial analysts.

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Date of publication: June 19, 2017

Q2 2017 estimates

 

Amounts in EUR million unless otherwise stated
Low Average  High # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax  437 494 532 19
Fair value items -230 -150 -13 19
Gains/losses on investments 0 45 100 19
Impairment charges -90   -17 0 19
Other income -510 -410 -50 19
Run-off businesses -1 9 31 19
Income before tax -256 -29 423 19
Income tax -76 31 157 18
Net income -195 3 403 18
Capital generation excl. market impacts and one-time items (EUR billion) 0.3 0.3 0.3

16

         
Shareholders' equity end of period 20,369 21,127 22,228  14
Revaluation account 5,378 5,700 6,099 13
Remeasurements of defined benefit plans -1,820 -1,638 -1,537 13
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period* 16,061 16,928 17,701 13

* Adjusted shareholders' equity equals reported shareholders' equity after adjusting for revaluation reserves, remeasurement of defined benefit plans, non-controlling interests and share options not yet exercised.

 

Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

Underlying earnings before tax estimates

 

Amounts in EUR million Low Average High # of estimates
Full year 2017 1,855 2,019 2,134 17
Full year 2018 1,863 2,078 2,283 17
Full year 2019 1,908 2,139 2,416 17
Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

 

Other

 

  Low Average High # of estimates
Solvency II ratio per quarter end 155% 160% 163%  17
Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
  2017
Interim dividend (EUR) 0.13

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