Analyst consensus

This analyst consensus is based on the most recent estimates submitted to Aegon by various financial analysts.

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Date of publication: July 31, 2018

1H 2018 estimates

Amounts in EUR million unless otherwise stated
Low Median  High # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax  958 1,001 1,136 20
Fair value items -214 -55 151 19
Gains/losses on investments -13 91 172 20
Impairment charges -119   -43 0 20
Other income -355 -196 0 20
Run-off businesses -17 0 22 20
Income before tax 632 761 1,114 20
Income tax -379 -175 -114 19
Net income 445 595 856 20
         
Shareholders' equity end of period 19,523 20,457 21,138 16
Revaluation account 3,719 4,170 4,920 15
Remeasurements of defined benefit plans -1,670 -1,669 -1,262 13
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period* 17,191 17,656 18,070 13
         
2018 interim dividend per share 0.14 0.14 0.14 18
         
Capital generation excl. market impacts and one-time items  583 700 749 13
Solvency II ratio per quarter end 199% 209% 211%

17

Holding excess cash 1,818 1,900 1,982

15

* Adjusted shareholders' equity equals reported shareholders' equity after adjusting for revaluation reserves, remeasurement of defined benefit plans, non-controlling interests and share options not yet exercised.

Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17

Underlying earnings before tax estimates

Amounts in EUR million Low Average High # of estimates
Full year 2018  1,978 2,069 2,245 15
Full year 2018 1,987 2,174 2,349 15
Full year 2019 2,036 2,233 2,476 15
Amounts in EUR million Low Average  High   # of estimates
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17
Underlying earnings before tax                 461                489                515                           20
Fair value items             (172)             (102)                (42)                           20
Gains/losses on investments                (13)                  70                129                           20
Impairment charges                (57)                (29)                  (0)                           20
Other income                (75)                (15)                    5                           20
Run-off businesses                (14)                  (1)                    5                           20
Net income                228                321                463                           20
           
Operational Free Cash Flow excl. market impacts and one-time items                228                321                372                           15
Shareholders' equity end of period          15,467          18,046          18,873                           19
Adjusted shareholders' equity end of period*          13,258          15,017          15,690                           17